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after economists, now top bihar officials question state’s growth rate claim


patna,(bihartimes): till now academics and experts of bihar have repeatedly been questioning the growth rate claims of the bihar government. now it is the turn of top officials of the state government who had raised serious doubts over the whole story. incidentally, all this happened within days of bihar winning award from president of india on the highest growth rate.

according to one of the officials the government is itself in the dark about how much has been spent on development. the state has no official data of capital formation. as a result, it is bereft of any authentic statistics on what fraction of the gross state domestic product (gsdp) has been spent on development.

“capital formation is a key indicator of development and its healthy percentage in the total expenditure of any economy is considered to be an indicator of growth. in india, the percentage of capital formation is around 30 per cent of the gdp; in china, it is as high as 40 per cent,” a senior bihar official was quoted in the telegraph.

“the gsdp indicates the income registered in different sectors and how this amount is being spent. two parameters––consumption expenditure and capital formation––are used to measure it. in bihar, the national sample survey organisation (nsso) provides the figures for consumption expenditure. but capital formation has never been calculated,” he further said.

while consumption expenditure deals with the part of income spent on meeting recurring payments, capital formation pertains to the income spent on productive assets creation. for instance, if a factory spends money to purchase equipment to enhance productivity, then it can be classified as capital formation.

patna university economics professor nawal kishore choudhary, who has challenged the growth rate in the past too said “keeping people in the dark about capital formation is like denying vital information about the government’s expenditure. without this data, no one can say exactly what amount is being spent on the creation of assets which would fuel growth.”

asian development research institute (adri) director p p ghosh expressed similar view: “one of the problems of judging the strength of development at the state-level is the absence of reliable data on capital formation.”

no such data has been collected for bihar since 1948-49, when the system of generating economy related data was introduced.

explaining the reason for this, another senior government official said: “data related to government, public and private sector firms and households would be required to calculate the figure of capital formation. the state statistical directorate is not equipped with necessary tools for collecting such a huge data.”

so pathetic is the situation that data of government expenditure is also unavailable.

apart from the development funds marked for the state and central government establishments, no data is available. in case of public and private sector enterprises, there is no system in place to collect data on the basis of their annual reports. as far as household survey is concerned, the resources at the disposal of the state government are way too little to conduct such a broad survey.

another official, while talking to the same daily, even questioned the veracity of the nsso data on consumption expenditure claiming that it was complied on the basis of samples collected from around 20,000 households whereas there are more than 1.5 crore homes in the state.

“extrapolating such a small sample over a huge number is bound to give distorted figures,” he added.

extrapolation is a method in which data for a sample size is collected and based on the outcome, figures for the whole area is calculated while taking into account the variables which come into play while collecting the data.

economists suggested that the data collection system would have to be strengthened to overcome the information gap.

“the government should take steps to strengthen the directorate of statistics,” p p ghosh said.

“if government is really serious about its development claims then it should strengthen its data collection system so that people can get a real picture of the growth story,” he said.

the government claimed that steps were being taken to improve the situation.

“the centre had recently provided rs 92 crore for strengthening the statistical directorate and the data-collection system. a proposal to set up an independent agency which would be free to hire the trained people for data collection would soon be put up for the approval of the state cabinet,” a source in the statistical directorate was quoted in the telegraph.

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